MJ would say no.
Not because I think David Holt hasn’t done a good job as mayor of OKC, but more because I’m not even sure if he would be competitive outside of three counties in rogue red MAGA Trump Oklahoma which is probably the reddest overall state in the Union.
And let’s be candid, one which currently as a state ranks dead last in education in all fifty states.
There are seventy-seven counties in Oklahoma. In 74 of those counties, I think the people who vote in these rural jurisdictions in Oklahoma would have voted for Hitler, Stalin, Mussolini, and Putin even if the Dems had a moderate nominee like say maybe Mark Kelley from Arizona or Josh Shapiro from Pennsylvania. I don’t think it was just a Kamala Harris thing. It goes deeper than that unfortunately in my view. I could be wrong on the Mark Kelly thing, he have had a chance in Oklahoma.
I hate to write in such a cynical tone on my blog, but I’ve been to all 77 counties at one time or another during my life, and what I would have to write is that while the people are nice for the most part, I think that the people in these 74 counties would vote for Trump over Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt, FDR, LBJ, Bush 41 and Arkansas’s favorite son Bill Clinton as well. Probably even Dwight D Eisenhower from bordering Kansas.
I hate to write this as well, but I very much feel that throughout rural Oklahoma the color of one’s skin does in fact make a difference in these 74 couties at the ballot box. Truth hurts. Genuinely.
Let’s say this … let’s suppose Holt somehow got through a GOP primary and somehow became the nominee…Mike J would think at that point Trump and the MAGA hardcores like Steven Miller and such would put the money together to run a MAGA candidate of their own in the general election.
Remember this as well, Mick Cornett was a very successful Republican mayor in OKC as and got drubbed by newcomer Kevin Stitt in the 2020 GOP primary in Oklahoma. Why? Because Mick Cornett wouldn’t embrace Trump or the MAGA nonsense, while Stitt fully embraced Trump, and even did it a second time even after the historical disgrace of January 6th.
The only three counties in which I think Mayor Holt would resonate enough to even be competitive would be OKC-Oklahoma County, Tulsa-Tulsa County, and Norman-Cleveland County. The remaining 74 counties would view David Holt as a RHINO ( Republican in Name Only) of sorts even though he was Little Marco Rubio’s Oklahoma State Campaign Chair in 2020.
I like David Holt. We had a nice conversation once on a Sunday night flight from Denver back to OKC. I’m glad he’s OKC’s mayor. He’s done a solid job and has been a tremendous cheerleader for the city. If OKC isn’t the hottest city in the country, I would have to guess it’s close to being in the top eight in several categories.
So…my heartfelt advice to David Holt, don’t make the mistake Mick Cornett made. Oklahoma City-Oklahoma County is a complete cultural and political outlier from the rest of the state. I don’t even think you could win Cleveland or Tulsa Counties.
Keep your focus on this amazing purple city in the middle of Oklahoma which was the subject of Sam Anderson’s NY Times bestseller, and of course, the home of the current NBA champs… the OKC Thunder.
Take care and good luck.
Mike J